The nature and long term consequences of early-onset offending: a study of two NSW birth cohorts

Dr Jason L. Payne1
1Australian National University, Canberra, Australia

In a recent study of the NSW crime decline and the criminal trajectories of two NSW birth cohorts (1984 and 1994), it was shown that the population prevalence of criminal justice contact to age 21 had halved in 10 years. These dramatic changes were exhibited in almost all estimates of crime, with the exception that the prevalence of early-onset offending remained unchanged. In this presentation, we are motivated to explore the apparent stagnation of early-onset offending by examining the similarities and differences between the two cohorts in terms of offence and longer-term offending profiles.  The implications for early intervention and prevention are discussed.

Dr Jason Payne is a Senior Lecturer at the Australian National University. Jason is the undergraduate convenor of the ANU’s criminology program.



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