Predictors for intimate partner violence: Risk or vulnerability?

Dr Romy Winter  

1Teaching Fellow, Police Studies.  Research Fellow, Tasmanian Institute of Law Enforcement Studies, School of Social Sciences, University of Tasmania

The increase in focus on violence amongst current or former partners reveals a chronic problem characterised by a complex set of social and individual determinants.  This presentation examines the current thinking about risk factors for perpetrator escalation of intimate partner violence as well as looking at victim vulnerabilities which exacerbate the risk of lethal assault. As no individual factor can explain more than small proportions of risk or vulnerability, we need to find frameworks that embrace complexity.  This presentation identifies factors which present the likely catalysts for intimate partner homicide and discuss how a multilateral model might be useful for screening and risk assessment.



Dr Rosmarie (Romy) Winter is an experienced researcher with the Tasmanian Institute of Law Enforcement Studies and teaches victimology in the Police Studies program at the University of Tasmania.  Her research interests include criminal justice responses to intimate partner violence, “social problems” policy analysis/evaluation and the sociology of gender in relation to the workforce.  Romy has a decade of experience in evaluating programs targeting vulnerable and hard-to-reach populations including parenting programs for at-risk families; young people on bail; Aboriginal men and boys in the criminal justice system and women with marginal attachment to the workforce.


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